Monday 26 October 2020

Currency Market Updates 26 Oct

 Globally, equity markets remained poised as US politicians continue to reduce their difference over the fiscal package. Dow Jones closed slightly in red 0.1% lower. Markets are likely to shift focus from fiscal package to US election outcome given we are just a week away from polling day. The price action in EUR/USD pair remained bullish as pair rebound to 1.1840 levels after testing a low 1.1785 on Friday. The gains in EUR/USD were further supported by the release of improved manufacturing PMI data from Germany and Euro area 58 & 54.4 respectively. Technically, EUR/USD pair has support near 1.18-1.1820 on a closing basis and resistance near 1.1860-1.1880 levels.

On domestic front, Nifty is trading flat near 11900 levels and 10-year bond yield is trading at 5.84%. Last week, despite broader dollar weakness USDINR pair gained amid continued buying by RBI, which led FX reserves surge to $555 bn mark. Technically, USDINR pair has witnessed triangle pattern break-out at 73.50 levels on 4-hour time frame. USDINR pair is likely to trade with bullish bias with support near 73.50-55 level and resistance near 73.90 levels if broken can test 74.10 levels.

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