Friday 26 July 2019

Cold Feet Modi and Boring Draghi!

Globally, Draghi delivered yet another dovish policy with no rate action but plenty of hope of future stimulus. The EUR/USD pair, which had been trading with a bearish bias, rebounded after policy as markets were ultra-bearish going into the policy. Technically, EUR/USD pair has strong support near 1.1110 levels and can bought for target of 1.1220 levels. More-over, US Fed commentary should take center-stage for coming week.   

On Domestic front, 10 Year bond yields, which made a low of 6.26% in current leg, rebounded sharply to 69.55% after bond markets got spooked as PMO raised concerns over raising foreign currency bonds. There is two way to look at this development – One Modi developed cold feet and postponed an opportunity open financial markets, other Modi 2.0 also listen to critics amends its policies.   

The USD/INR pair opened the session at 69.12 levels against previous close of 69.04. The USD/INR pair has been gaining ground gradually amid relentless buying by Oil and RBI testing patience of INR bulls. Going forward, USD/INR pair should take further cues from headwinds in domestic equity markets and broad trend of US dollar index.