Thursday 14 November 2019

USDINR Daily Update - 14-Nov



Globally, US 10 year bond yield eased nearly 7 bps after mixed comments by Powell. US FED governor maintained that current monetary policy remained appropriate given moderate growth expectations, tightening labour markets and inflation expectations of below 2%. Future funds rates currently pricing less than 45% chance of rate cut in next one year. On other hand, safe haven currencies Yen and CHF traded with biddish bias amid lack of clarity on US-China trade deal.

On domestic front, India’s headline CPI inflation spiked to 16-month high of 4.62% lead by elevated food inflation, with vegetable inflation at 26% (MoM). More importantly, Core inflation remained under-check at 3.3%, hence should not hamper RBI’s December rate cut expectations.

USDINR pair opened the session on a flat note at 72.07 levels against previous close of 72.06. Range for the day for USDINR 71.90-72.40 levels.

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