Thursday 19 December 2019

Currency Market Update 19-Dec: BoE to drive Cable!


Financial markets have remained broadly unchanged despite Trump impeachment by the House of Representative. Trump is expected to get exonerated in a Senate trial, owing to majority of Republicans. Consequently, S&P index closed little changed at 3191 and US dollar index trading flat at 97.34. GBP/USD pair found some support near 1.3050, which is pre-election low. Consumer prices in UK rose by 1.5%, against expectation of 1.4%, lending some support to cable. Later today, Bank of England is expected to keep its monetary policy stance unchanged. Markets will keenly watch BoE’s economic assessment given the relative clarity on political front.


On domestic front, GST council decided against raising tax rate despite dwindling GST collections. Ironically, RBI Governor, Shaktikanta Das suggested that prevailing economic conditions are appropriate to deviate 0.5% from fiscal deficit path recommended by FRBM’s committee. This statement is likely to resonate with ‘North Block’, which is finding it difficult to maintain deficit. Consequently, India’s 10 year bond yields rebounded to 6.74% from 6.70%.Yesterday, USDINR witnessed selling pressure amid plausible PSU inflow. USDINR pair opened the session on a flat note at 70.99 against previous close of 70.97. USDINR pair has support at 70.75-70.80 levels and resistance at 71.07-71.12 levels. Range for the day 70.85-71.10.

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