Will England Qualify?

As world cup has entered in last leg of round-robin stage – let’s reconsider our prediction regarding 

semi-finalist.

Model Ranking			Official Ranking
Ind	1		NZ	1
NZ	1		Aus	2
Aus	3		Ind	3
Pak	4		Eng	4
BL	4		SL	5
Eng	6		Bang	6
WI	7		Pak	7
SL	8		WI	8
SA	9		SA	9
Afs	10		Afs	10

As expected, official ranking, which was initially prone to scheduling effects, now represent more-closer picture to reality. Official ranking currently shows NZ, Aus, India and England are front runner for semi-finals. More-over, it shows that Srilanka, Bangladesh, Pakistan and West-Indies are still in race while, South Africa and Afghanistan has been knocked out.

Semi-Finalist As per Model:

Will Qualify - India, Australia and New Zealand

Still in Race:  England, Pakistan and Bangladesh in that order

Knocked Out: South Africa, Afghanistan, Sri-lanka and West-Indies.

Going by numerous iterations – it can be confirmed that Sri-Lanka, which is currently placed at rank 5 will not qualify for semi-final. More-over, West-Indies will also not qualify.

Will England Qualify –

Currently, Model has ranked England 6^th Position – on expectation that they might lose all their remaining matches – India/NZ and Australia.   

1.       If England win at-least two of these three game, they will definitely qualify!

2.       If England lose all three game, they can’t qualify.

3.       If England win at-least won a single game than they should qualify Pakistan lose at-least one match either against NZ or Bang.

Though, Current ranks suggest Bangladesh and Pakistan above England, but remaining fixtures tilled the qualifying probability in favor of England!